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How many of you pulled 3 star Soundwave from cassette crystal?
veloce
Posts: 3
Hey guys i opened approximately more than 220 cassette crystal and i could not get 3 star Soundwave!
Is this possible? The chance for me to pull him from damn crystal is lower than 0.4% and i am not still getting it..this is ridiculous. Now i am wondering maybe there is a bug or something.
Is this possible? The chance for me to pull him from damn crystal is lower than 0.4% and i am not still getting it..this is ridiculous. Now i am wondering maybe there is a bug or something.
How many of you pulled 3 star Soundwave from cassette crystal? 39 votes
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Comments
I call shenanigans.
That means you either had a ton of energon saved up somehow, or you spent over $1000 on energon.
Then you probably refunded it anyway.
This is another case of a person confusing probability with chance. Your probability is assumed to be 0.4% PER PULL. You are interpreting it as a 0.4% CHANCE over the course of 220 pulls.
They are not the same thing.
Imagine a deck of 52 cards. You guess what card you will draw from the deck. It is 1/52 or 1.92% chance on the FIRST pull, but increases each time you draw another card from the deck because there are less cards.
However, if you were to reinsert the card you drew, reshuffle the deck and draw again, your probability of drawing the card you named is still 1.92%
When you open crystals, you are always drawing from a "full deck"
You also need to understand how the game determines what comes out of a crystal. It's actually two separate probability rolls in one.
First, the system rolls what tier bot you will draw.
Second, once that is determined, it rolls again on which bot you will receive in that tier.
I've seen almost everyone on this forum spaz about inconsequential stuff. I'm not accustomed to an actual inquiry.
So some people are getting him. Just not us
Looking good.. Wish I had that sort of money to spend on my hobby. Keep it up
I have 13 1*, 12 2 *, and 1 3 *. I have been playing the game everyday since it came out, opening "about" 2 crystals a day and I usually come out with the same result. I managed to get a 3 * Rhinox out of the "Cassette Crystal" though.
I'm really sorry to hear that! Crystal drops are totally random, but that's not a fun experience to have. But I'm happy to see that you got yourself the 4-Star Version! He'll serve you well as you and the game progress.
PS. I also didn't get Soundwave.
They are a waste of energon, especially if you had to use real money for it.
Just wait until they pop up in the premium crystal.
Your chances are far better. Mine were.
Not always. Since the crystal pool will increase, the chances of getting an specific bot will reduce as well.
Not coming here from mcoc I assume? People dropping $1k on feature crystals is commonplace. I had at least 4 people in my alliance drop well over $200 on him and one guy got the 3*. It isn't necessary to spend to do well in this game, but gobs of people do.
Not that I can dispute that this is correct or not, but other than assumptive guessing, how could you know that?
I'm a programmer and I'm just saying... that's far from the only way to do it, and not necessarily the best way.