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T4 RNG
小龙女
Posts: 641
I opened 6 T4C
4 are yellow, 1 tact, 1 warrior
I am sure if someone calculate the chance to roll such combination will be enough to roll a million dollar lottery
It is both exciting I won a lottery and outrageous at same time that I spent so much time and money to roll such tragedy
4 are yellow, 1 tact, 1 warrior
I am sure if someone calculate the chance to roll such combination will be enough to roll a million dollar lottery
It is both exciting I won a lottery and outrageous at same time that I spent so much time and money to roll such tragedy
1
Comments
A lot. A lot of money. Don't question it, as long as it means Kabam keeps supporting the game I'm all for it.
Also, the chance to get any combination is 0.002% by my calculation (please correct me if I'm wrong, I'm tired). This percentage is not the chance for you to roll 4 demo, 1 tact 1 warrior however as there are a number of combinations which will get you those 6 in any order, but I really can't be bothered to go through it all. It's small though.
Ok, if there is a 1 of 6 for each roll, and each roll is a unique event, each roll would be a 6. So the odds to get any specific combination of class sparks would be
6*6*6*6*6*6=6^6=46656
So it's a 1/46656 chance, or a 0.00002% chance. You were off by 1 zero @iBK . Not bad.
Makes sense. From math, my conclusion is that even if I rolled 20 yellow 1 blue 1 red in future, it is still considered “normal” and fair.
Awesome. Gotta love this game
(and whine anyway)
Or maybe it has to do with % chance of rolling each color is different? Like how the fog map t4 essence work? Or it depends on your roster? Who knows
Maybe I should go buy lottery. It may happen I roll 1 million dollar price more often than 10 dollar price?
I pull 3x the amount of demo t3s than anything else. I have 4 in my overflow and nothing to spend them on except a 5* Demo Megatron...and he's not getting the t4b.
5 brawler
3 tactician
3 warrior
2 demo
0 scout
0 tech
All I've wanted to get since they first released T4C is scout and tech sparks and you can see how that's gone.
WJ, JF, Prowl and Jazz have been r4 max forged for months, WJ for over a year. It's hard not to feel like there is an algorithm at work when the bots you want ranked up most are in the 2 classes you can't get sparks for.
Sadly, at this point in the game with no new bots and questionable new "content", getting those sparks is about the only thing I really care about now.
Good luck; hope you get what you need soon.
From what I heard. There are 3 ways to open crystals
1. Open directly
2. Open through animation screen and press stop
3. Open through animation screen and wait till it stops itself
4. Bonus religious way: before opening, rank up the bot class you want T4c for
And the end way: mix opening with 1-3 randomly. Maybe the result will be more random
Maybe has to do with your roster too...so experiment if you get the color for bots u have lowest rank/amount or highest.
Who knows.
Er, you multiply that 1/46656 by 100 to get a percentage, do you not?
I just did (1/6)^6 * 100 to get 0.002%
Maybe I'm wrong, I'm a complete idiot anyway
Vydious or Miike mentioned somewhere that the opening animation is just an "illusion". If you pull the crystal to the center, and release it the game pick your bot and your tap has nothing to do with the result.
Somebody had a freezing problem while the opening and the one of them (I can't remember it was Vydious or Miike) answered something like this.
I think that's the reason why we have to wait some seconds before we can tap to stop the crystal. (Or maybe the tap functioning like you open directly..) anyways the opening is just an illusion, no point to open that way anything
Of course the crystal opening itself isn't real. You think you were really between 2 5* bots? You were sooo close but just missed it? Hell no. Probability still stands at 1.5% and you should always go by that. Nothing else.
Yeah, there's definitely a reason (business strategy) the animation doesn't match reality. Ever heard of the phrase "There's a sucker born every minute?"
https://forums.transformersforgedtofight.com/discussion/8598/a-couple-of-questions-i-probably-wont-get-answers-to